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Expectations for the 2H 2011 tablet market

Staff writer
Staff writer
Tablet shipments are booming in 2011, with shipments expected to surpass 65 million for the year, up more than 200% from 2010. And while Apple remains the dominant player with its iPad, a number of major players are affecting growth and the direction the market. This DIGITIMES Research Special Report provides a breakdown of expected tablet shipments by vendor for the second half of the year, as well as providing analyses of the semiconductor, software, processor technology and Taiwan manufacturing ecosystem shaping the market.
Abstract
Tablet shipments, 2H11

The tablet craze sparked by Apple has not only given fresh impetus to the convergence of 3C markets (computers, communications and consumer electronics), but has also engulfed the entire ICT industry with its radically different business models, ushering in a new era in the mobile computing market.

Tablet shipments were up more than 420% from one year earlier in the first half of 2010 and the market will continue with its positive momentum in the second half of the year, with shipments expected to be up more than 150% from one earlier. While Apple remains the dominant player with its iPad line, other major vendors have looking to gain traction in this booming market.

While Apple remains the dominant force in the tablet market, major 3C brands are making the most of their own strengths and are projected to ship more than 20 million tablets in the second half of 2011.

Android has developed even more rapidly in the tablet sector than in smartphones, with a penetration rate of more than 30%. In terms of core application processors, Nvidia's Tegra series has been widely supported by brands other than Apple. However, shipment figures from Digitimes Research suggest that Texas Instruments (TI) is likely to be the firm to beat out in this area.

The contribution of Taiwan's electronics industry to the meteoric rise of the tablet industry should not be overlooked. In addition to the overwhelming advantage enjoyed by Taiwan's OEM device/product makers, Taiwan's touchscreen panel industry has also played a critical role in the branded tablet market, with Taiwan-based firms being the partner of choice for brands wishing to move into the tablet market quickly. This report takes a detailed look at the role of the Taiwan electronics industry in the development of the tablet supply chain.

Table of contents
  • 2H 2011 branded tablet market outlook

  • Defining the tablet segment

  • Apple vs rest of the market

  • Chart 1: Apple iPad and other major brand tablet shipments, 1H11 (m units)

  • Chart 2: Apple iPad and other major brand tablet shipments, 2H11 (m units)

  • Quarterly shipments by major brands

  • Chart 3:Major brand tablet shipments, 1Q11 (m units)

  • Chart 4: Major brand tablet shipment share, 1Q11

  • 2Q shipments up more than 60%

  • Chart 5:Major brand tablet shipments, 2Q11 (m units)

  • Chart 6: Major brand tablet shipment share, 2Q11

  • More competitin in 3Q

  • Chart 7:Major brand tablet shipments, 3Q11 (m units)

  • Chart 8: Major brand tablet shipment share, 3Q11

  • 4Q may see unexpected changes

  • Chart 9:Major brand tablet shipments, 4Q11 (m units)

  • Chart 10: Major brand tablet shipment share, 4Q11

  • Total 2011 tablet shipments

  • Chart 11:Major brand tablet shipments, 2011 (m units)

  • Chart 12: Major brand tablet shipment share, 2011

  • Tablet screen size

  • Chart 13: Shipment forecast by tablet screen size, 1Q11-4Q11

  • Chart 14: Shipment proportion by tablet screen size, 2011

  • Operating systems

  • Chart 15: Shipment proportion by tablet operating system, 2011

  • Chart 16: Growth of iOS and Android (k devices activated per day)

  • Tablet processors

  • Chart 17: 2011 price points for tablets, based on application processor used

  • Chart 18: Tablet shipment share by application processor, 2011

  • Major touchscreen technologies for tablets

  • Chart 19: Tablet shipment share by touch panel technology, 2011

  • Application processor platforms

  • ARM architecture

  • Current applications of ARM architecture

  • Chart 20: Virtually all mainstream tablets in 2011 use ARM architecture

  • Standardized and customized development

  • Chart 21: Mobile communications devices using ARM architecture-based application processors, 2011 (m chips)

  • Chart 22: Market share for mobile communications devices using ARM-based application processors, 2011

  • Chart 23: Qualcomm and Marvell have adopted a fully-customized route for their cores

  • Design trends in the second half of 2011

  • Chart 24: Mainstream application processor designs have already begun to add support for SATA or PCI-Express interfaces

  • Chart 25: GPUs have already become indispensible components for mobile devices

  • The important role of Linaro

  • Chart 26: The ARM-led Linaro organization is aimed at resolving compatibility problems

  • MIPS architecture

  • MIPS pushing performance/price ratio

  • Chart 27: MIPS showcased several US$100 tablet and smartphone products at Computex 2011

  • x86 architecture

  • AMD tablet core structure focuses on GPU performance, while low power consumption structure still need more work

  • Intel tablets still need time to be a match with Android; Windows-based mid-range and entry-level tablets have no competitiveness.

  • x86 development chance and difficulties in tablet market

  • Chart 28: Intel displayed several tablets at Computex, but no first-tier vendor support

  • Microsoft hugs ARM; x86 fights to avoid being marginalized

  • Chart 29: Intel is aggressive cutting into mobile application industry via MeeGo and Android

  • Whether Atom’s revamped structure in 2013 will turn the course for Intel remains to be seen

  • Chart 30: Medfield has made progress, but still lacks in competitiveness against ARM

  • Chart 31: Intel will not have a revolutionary advance until 2013

  • Facing ARM structure’s challenge, x86 camp need to be more aggressive

  • Chart 32: AMD roadmap for APU structures will completely merge GPU and CPU together by 2014

  • Role of Taiwan in the tablet ecosystem

  • ODM/EMS

  • Chart 33: Forecast of Taiwan’s share in global branded tablet shipments, 2011

  • Chart 34: Major Taiwan makers’ tablet shipments, 2011 (m units)

  • Chart 35: Major maker’ share of Taiwan tablet shipments, 2011

  • IC design industry

  • Chart 36: Major tablet players’ product lineup and strategy

  • Applications of tablet related chips

  • Chart 37: Major application of tablet related chips

  • Cost structure of tablet related chips

  • Chart 38: Proportion of total chip cost for mainstream Android-based tablets, by application

  • Memory & Storage chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Chart 39: Memory & Storage chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Wireless communication chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Chart 40: Wireless communication chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Computing & Processing chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Chart 41: Computing & Processing chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Multimedia & Interface chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Chart 42: Multimedia & Interface chip vendors in the tablet market

  • Conclusion

  • Chart 43: Taiwan chip players opportunities in the tablet market

  • Displays and touch panels

  • Tablet-use TFT LCD

  • Chart 44: Taiwan TFT LCD suppliers’ market share of tablet-use panels, 2011

  • Touch panels

  • Chart 45: Tablet-use touch panel module market share, by supplier, 2011

  • Taiwan makers’ technology and business model

  • Touch panel makers

  • AUO, Cando and TPK

  • Chart 46: AUO and Cando capacity for tablet-related displays

  • Chart 47: AUO, Cando, TPK and related clients’ tablet display supply chain

  • CMI and Foxconn

  • Chart 48: Current investment status of Foxconn and affiliates in tablet related industries

  • CPT, Compal and E Ink

  • Chart 49: CPT and Compal form strategic alliance to invest in tablet-related industries

  • Chart 50: E-Ink AFFS TFT LCD capacity overview

  • HannStar and HannsTouch

  • Chart 51: HannStar and HannsTouch investment in tablet-related industries

  • Wintek

  • J-Touch and Young Fast: Thin-flim-type projected capacitive touch

  • TABLES AND CHARTS

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    Published: July 25, 2011

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