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Trends and forecasts in the OLED lighting market, 2010-2020

Jessie Lin
Jessie Lin
While LEDs are widely regarded as the star lighting technology of tomorrow, OLEDs are also playing a growing role in next-generation lighting plans. OLED lighting is still a fledgling industry but major nations have launched OLED lighting development plans. This Digitimes Research covers those plans, while also providing a detailed overview of developments at major makers in terms technology, commercial products and future goals, as well as the likely impact on the future of the OLED lighting industry, costs and the size of the market.
Abstract
Global OLED lighting market forecast, 2010-2020 (US$m)

While LEDs are widely regarded as the star lighting technology of tomorrow, OLED - another emerging new technology - is also playing an increasingly conspicuous role in next-generation lighting. This is chiefly because both LED and OLED are solid-state lighting technologies, and as such are likely to massively surpass the luminous efficacy (efficiency) performance of fluorescent lights in the relatively near future; moreover, they do not involve the use of mercury and are capable of meeting the requirments of next-generation lighting in terms of eliminating ultraviolet rays, improved color rendition and added light adjustability.

Only a tiny number of OLED lighting products are currently available on a commercial basis, largely because the technology has not yet been developed to the point where it can compete with other common forms of lighting in terms of luminous efficacy or luminous flux performance. OLED lighting panels currently achieve luminous efficacy of 35-66 lm/W, levels which are far from ideal in comparison to mainstream lighting technologies; the goal for future development is to increase this figure to a level comparable to other energy-saving light bulb technologies, that is a luminous efficacy of 80 lm/W and a luminous flux approaching 1,000lm.

OLED lighting is still very much a fledgling industry. In order to expedite its development, many major nations have launched OLED lighting development plans, examples of which include the United States' Department of Energy (DOE) R&D Plan and Roadmap, Europe's OLED 100.eu plan, and Japan's Next Generation SSL (solid-state lighting) Plan. In the following report, Digitimes Research describes in detail the OLED plans, targets and schedules of each country or region.

Digitimes Research has also followed the progress of several manufacturers that have already begun to launch commercial OLED lighting products on the market. Examples include Philips, Osram, Panasonic and Lumiotec - companies that are also the world's most proactive developers of OLED lighting. Consequently, this Digitimes Research report also provides a detailed overview of the route that each of the major OLED lighting manufacturers is taking in terms of development progress, technology, commercial products and future goals, as well as the likely impact on the future of the OLED lighting industry, costs and the size of the market.

Table of contents
  • Introduction

  • Chart 1: Comparison of the features of next-generation LED and OLED lighting technologies

  • Chart 2: Luminous flux and luminous efficacy of various types of lighting

  • Table 1: Different manufacturers progress on OLED panel development (I)

  • Table 2: Different manufacturers progress on OLED panel development (II)

  • OLED lighting in developed markets

  • USA DOE

  • DOE OLED light fixture cost reduction targets

  • Chart 3: OLED fixture price drops, 2012-2020 (US$/klm)

  • DOE OLED panel cost reduction targets

  • Chart 4: OLED panel price drops, 2012-2020 (US$/klm)

  • DOE OLED panel material cost reduction targets

  • Chart 5: OLED panel material cost drops, 2012-2020 (US$/square meter)

  • DOE OLED panel factory development targets

  • Table 3: OLED panel production details, 2012-2020

  • Table 4: DOE OLED production goals for 2015

  • EU

  • Chart 6: Target and deveopment goals for the OLED 100.eu plan

  • OLED 100eu. participating countries and organizations

  • Chart 7: Organizations that participated in OLED 100.eu

  • OLED 100eu. developments of OLED lighting

  • Chart 8: Results of the OLED lighting development undertaken as part of the OLED 100.eu project

  • Japan

  • Chart 9: Developmental strategies for Japan’s next generation of lighting

  • Science and Technology Basic Plan

  • Chart 10: Development of Japan's OLED lighting technology

  • Chart 11: OLED lighting in Japan (I)

  • Chart 12: OLED lighting in Japan (II)

  • OLED lighting makers

  • Philips

  • History of OLED lighting at Philips

  • Chart 13: Timeline of OLED lighting developments at Philips

  • Philips' development of OLED lighting technology

  • Chart 14: Structure of OLED at Philips, with product designs

  • Table 5: Comparison of the efficiency and lifespan of OLED light-emitting materials

  • Table 6: Comparison of light extraction structure efficiency

  • Chart 15: Comparison of methods of increasing OLED extraction rates

  • Table 7: Philips' OLED efficiency and light extraction effects on performance

  • Development of commercial OLED lighting products

  • Chart 16: Philips' OLED panel factories

  • Chart 17: Philips has collaborated with Konica Minolta to jointly sell OLED lighting panels

  • Chart 18: Required properties of OLED lighting

  • Chart 19: Philips' plans for OLED lighting development

  • Osram

  • Chart 20: Timeline of Osram's development of OLED lighting

  • Osram developments of OLED lighting technology

  • Chart 21: Orbeos OLED lighting panels already sold by Osram

  • Osram's development of commercial OLED lighting products

  • Chart 22: Flexible OLED lighting products under development by Osram

  • Osram's targets for OLED lighting

  • Chart 23: Osram developing transparent OLED lighting using transparent electrodes

  • Panasonic

  • Chart 24: Timeline of Panasonic's development of OLED lighting

  • Chart 25: Panasonic and Idemitsu joint venture PIOL

  • Panasonic's developments of OLED lighting technology

  • Chart 26: Conventional ways of increasing the efficiency of OLED lighting

  • Chart 27: Panasonic's method of delivering high-efficiency OLED lighting

  • Chart 28: Panasonic is using Tazmo's slit coating technology

  • Chart 29: Panasonic is using in-line deposition to increase deposition speeds and bring material usage rates up to 70%

  • Panasonic's development of commercial OLED lighting

  • Chart 30: Specifications of OLED lighting panels marketed by PIOL

  • Panasonic's future goals for OLED lighting

  • Table 8: PIOL's OLED lighting panel development plans

  • Chart 31: OLED lighting development plans by application

  • Lumiotec

  • History of OLED lighting at Lumiotec

  • Chart 32: Members of the Lumiotec OLED lighting alliance

  • Chart 33: Timeline of Lumiotec's development of OLED lighting

  • Lumiotec's developments of OLED lighting technology

  • Chart 34: Lumiotec's volume production facility for OLED lighting panels

  • Table 9: Comparison of film production processes for OLED light-emitting materials

  • Lumiotec's development of commercial OLED lighting products

  • Table 10: Specifications of Lumiotec OLED lighting already on the market

  • Chart 35: Overview of standard OLED lighting panels from Lumiotec

  • Chart 36: Lumiotec's short-term goals for developing OLED lighting panels

  • Lumiotec's future goals for OLED lighting

  • Chart 37: Different manufacturers' start dates for volume production of OLED lighting panels

  • Chart 38: Lumiotec's plans for the OLED lighting panel business

  • OLED and other technologies

  • Comparison of OLED and other lighting technologies

  • Chart 39: Comparison of luminous efficacy of OLED and other lighting (lm/W)

  • OLED lighting pricing trends and forecasts

  • Chart 40: OLED cost forecast, 2011-2017 (US$/lm)

  • Forecasts for the future of OLED lighting market

  • Chart 41: Global OLED lighting market forecast, 2010-2020 (US$m)

  • TABLES AND CHARTS

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    Published: May 14, 2012

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