Donald Trump's return to the White House has reignited a global trade war. On April 2, 2025, Trump announced new tariff measures imposing tariffs ranging from 10% to 50% on various countries. Although semiconductors are currently exempt from taxation, the likelihood of future tariffs remains high.
DIGITIMES estimates that due to the characteristics of semiconductor products and the low proportion of direct exports to the US from various countries, the impact of these tariffs will be limited. However, attention must be paid to the potential effects of tariffs on electronic product purchases or the systemic risks arising from macroeconomic factors, which could suppress semiconductor demand.
While Trump has temporarily exempted semiconductors from tariffs, he has repeatedly indicated plans to impose taxes on them, highlighting the ongoing risk of taxation. Currently, the proportion of semiconductor exports directly to the US from various countries is not high. Under the scenario of Trump's new tariff measures, the expected impact from tariffs may decrease; however, this still depends on how Trump implements the tariffs.
Trump escalates trade war globally with basic and reciprocal tariffs
Chart 4: Trump's regulations on tariffs related to the semiconductor industry
Tariffs have limited impact; encouraging US investment is the focus
Chart 5: Overview of US semiconductor imports and exports, 2020-2024 (US$m)
Chart 6: Top-10 semiconductor import sources for US, 2020-2024 (US$m)
US chipmakers reliance on wafer imports may raise production costs
Chart 7: Top-10 wafer import sources for US, 2020-2024 (US$m)
Semi equipment/part tariffs may change competition landscape
Tariff influence to be limited, yet systemic risks still exist
Trump tariffs can still pose challenges for global semi supply chain