Based on supply chain information, regional market conditions, and global political and economic trends, DIGITIMES estimates that global smartphone shipments will reach 1.2213 billion units in 2025, representing a 2.3% growth from the previous year.
Looking ahead to the next five years, the continued rollout and expansion of 5G networks in emerging markets, along with the replacement of feature phones with smartphones in these regions, is expected to drive demand and shipment growth.
DIGITIMES estimates that from 2025 to 2030, global smartphone shipments will grow at an annual rate of around 3%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.06%.
Chart 1: Key factors affecting 2026-2030 worldwide smartphone shipments
Chart 3: Shipment to China and non-China markets, 2024-2026 (m units)
Chart 4: Top-9 smartphone vendors' shipments, 2025-2026 (m units)
Chart 5: Shipments by 5G and non-5G smartphones, 2024-2030 (m units)
Chart 6: China and non-China markets 5G smartphone shipments, 2024-2026 (m units)
Chart 7: Shipments by foldable and non-foldable models, 2024-2030 (m units)
Chart 8: Foldable phone Y/Y shipment growth, 2021-2025 (m units)
Chart 9: Shipments by Gen AI- and non-Gen AI-supported models, 2024-2030 (m units)
Chart 10: Smartphone brands' capacity deployment worldwide, 2025-2030
